Thursday, January 19, 2012

2011 global temperature cooler, second coolest of 2000's

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Not happy news for USA Today and AP who rush to defend the global warming movement which has 3 planks per Nigel Purvis an Obama-Biden climate adviser: reducing industry in the US, transferring money out of the US, and increasing power of the UN. 'Climate' is not mentioned because it's not about climate.

1/19/12, "La Nina cooled the globe in 2011," USA Today, Doyle Rice, 'AP contributed'

"A strong La Niña lowered the world's temperature last year to its second-coolest reading of the 2000s, federal scientists announced Thursday.

The nations's two primary climate data sets — from the National Climatic Data Center and NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) — both had the Earth as much warmer than average, but not as warm as recent years have been.

The climate center reported that the globe had its 11th-warmest year on record, while NASA marked the year as the 9th warmest on record.

Climate records go back to 1880.***

La Niña is a natural, periodic cooling of tropical Pacific Ocean water that affects

  • weather and climate around the world.

Since 2011 was the second-coolest year of the 2000s, does this mean global warming has slowed?

"Global temperature in 2011 was lower than in 1998," NASA climate scientist James Hansen admits in the GISS report. However, he adds that nine of the 10 warmest years on record have occurred in the 21st century, and that 2011 was cooled by a moderately strong La Niña.

"We conclude that the slowdown of warming is likely to prove illusory, with more rapid warming appearing over the next few years," [longtime political activist] Hansen writes.

NCDC calculated the globe's average temperature was 57.9 degrees F, which was 0.9 degrees warmer than the 20th century average of 57 degrees.

"There is no long-term cooling trend," said climate scientist Jake Crouch of the NCDC. "If we look at the long-term trend of temperatures for the globe, we see an increasing trend," he says. "However, La Niña can temporarily supress global temperatures."

In fact, it was hotter than every year in the 20th century except 1998. When compared to previous La Niña years, the 2011 global surface temperature was the warmest observed....

Specifically, 2011 was the warmest year on record in Spain and Norway, and the second-warmest on record for the United Kingdom.***

NCDC reported the USA's temperature was the 23rd-warmest on record in 2011. What was remarkable for the USA were the precipitation contrasts: Texas had its driest year on record, while seven states — Connecticut, Indiana, Kentucky, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania — had their wettest year on record.

The NCDC also upped the number of billion-dollar U.S. weather disasters from 12 to 14, adding Tropical Storm Lee and a severe weather outbreak in the Rockies and Midwest from July to the total."****

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***What is the source data and context for these claims?

****Costs for everything today are higher than a few decades ago. They're trying to repackage global warming to include every weather disaster and extreme. The insurance industry long ago saw the CO2 trading market as a profit center. It's in their interest to interpret all events in a way that advances CO2 trading.

11/10/10: "Mixed messages from Munich Re," by Roger Pielke, Jr.

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7/24/09, "Insurance and reinsurance in a changing climate," 'Insurance and response to climate change risks,' EOEarth.org, Lead authors The Canada Institute of the Woodrow, Virginia Haufler

"Coinsurance, perhaps through insurance pools or public-private partnerships, would become more common. Other financial sectors could take up some of the risk, for instance through developing new products such as “catastrophe futures” and

  • weather derivatives to hedge against very high risks and losses.

Thus, risk would be transferred from those experiencing losses,

  • instead of to insurers....

European insurers perceive good financial prospects for investing in

  • emissions trading...

Swiss Re, as mentioned above, is already planning to insure carbon transactions....

Jeremy Leggett of Greenpeace International was one of the first to make the link between insurance losses and global warming. In 1992, he began to urge the insurance industry to take action against global warming,

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Greenpeaces' Jeremy Leggett is now a celebrity carbon trading millionaire and television commentator.

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NASA/GISS chief and employee of the US taxpayer James Hansen arrested at White House 'climate' protest, 8/29/11. via climatestorytellers

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1/13/12, "US Republicans stir transatlantic tensions over climate change," EurActiv

"One senior US climate negotiator at Kyoto described...a collection of “toxic” ingredients.

There are three issues

  • constraining industry,
  • sending money abroad, and
  • strengthening the UN –

that are inflammatory on their own right,” Nigel Purvis, a State Department official under the Clinton and Bush administrations, said on the phone from Washington."...

Ed. note: "In 2008, Mr. Purvis served as a senior adviser on climate diplomacy to the Obama-Biden campaign." He is founder and president of Climate Advisers.

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1/7/12, 3 top UN climate officials, Edenhofer, Pachauri, and Figueres, say it's about cash not climate

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USA Today reporter Doyle Rice (author of story posted at top) was informed about weaknesses of US gov. climate data in 2007 and that we relied on UK CRU Climategate figures for our global data. Apparently Doyle Rice hasn't revealed this information. Link to copy of email to USA Today's Doyle Rice from NASA, Aug. 29, 2007.

"USA Today did not follow this thread when offered in 2007, or at any time since, including as what was an enormous scandal (outside of the US establishment press) unfolded."...

3/23/10, "USA Today and NASA’s Bogus Data: ‘Global Warming’ Handmaiden," BigJournalism, C. Horner

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3/10/10, "Climategate Stunner: NASA Heads Knew NASA Data Was Poor, Then Used Data from CRU," PJ Media, Charlie Martin

"Following Climategate, when it became known that raw temperature data for CRU’s “HADCRU3″ climate dataset had been destroyed, Phil Jones, CRU’s former director, said the data loss was not important — because there were other independent climate datasets available.

But the emails reveal that at least three of the four datasets were not independent, that NASA GISS was not considered accurate, and that these quality issues were known to both top climate scientists and to the mainstream press.

In a response to reporter Doyle Rice of USA Today, Dr. Reto Ruedy — a senior scientist at NASA — recommended the following:

Continue using NCDC’s data for the U.S. means and Phil Jones’ [HADCRU3] data for the global means. …

We are basically a modelling group and were forced into rudimentary analysis of global observed data in the 70s and early 80s. …

Now we happily combine NCDC’s and Hadley Center data to … evaluate our model results.

This response was extended later the same day by Dr. James Hansen — the head of NASA GISS:

[For] example, we extrapolate station measurements as much as 1200 km. This allows us to include results for the full Arctic. In 2005 this turned out to be important, as the Arctic had a large positive temperature anomaly. We thus found 2005 to be the warmest year in the record, while the British did not and initially NOAA also did not. …

It should be noted that the different groups have cooperated in a very friendly way to try to understand different conclusions when they arise.

Two implications of these emails: The data to which Phil Jones referred to as “independent” was not — it was being “corrected” and reused among various climate science groups, and the independence of the results was no longer assured; and the NASA GISS data was of lower quality than Jones’ embattled CRU data."...

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(Ed. note: CRU admits it discarded raw data as referenced above, the article below, and elsewhere. I copied the following article when the UK Times was free. They are now a pay site.

11/29/09, "Climate change data dumped," TimesOnline UK, by Jonathan Leake

"Scientists at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based.

forced to reveal the loss following requests for the data under Freedom of Information legislation. The data were gathered from weather stations around the world and then adjusted to take account of variables in the way they were collected. The revised figures were kept, but the originals — stored on paper and magnetic tape — The admission follows the leaking of a thousand private emails sent and received by Professor Phil Jones, the CRU’s director. In them he discusses thwarting climate sceptics seeking access to such data. In a statement on its website, the CRU said:
  • “We do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (quality controlled and homogenised) data.”...
  • Climate change sceptics have long been keen to examine exactly how its data were compiled.
That is now impossible. Roger Pielke, professor of environmental studies at Colorado University, discovered data had been lost when he asked for original records.
  • So much for settling questions and resolving debates with science,” he said.
Jones was not in charge of the CRU when the data were thrown away in the 1980s, a time when climate change was seen as a less pressing issue. "...

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USA Today uses sensational picture to dramatize man caused climate change, but the picture is of a natural event, not man caused, that took place 10 yrs. earlier:

8/7/2008, "When it rains, it pours: Climate change to increase rainfall," USA Today, Doyle Rice

Doyle Rice's article sells man-made climate change, not natural climate change--which doesn't have a trillion dollar 'commodities' market behind it. Yet Rice chooses or allows to run above his name (or at least hasn't resigned in protest) a big, emotionally wrenching picture of a natural disaster (non-man made) of 10 years earlier.

ap photo from 1998 ap reporter in Vacaville. USA Today caption next to photo: "Margaret Newfeld is taken to safety by firefighters in Yountville, Calif., in Feb. 1998.

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via Climate Depot

1 comment:

Lee Firth said...

Personally I'm rather concerned about this trend of global cooling; it's the last thing I need sitting in my cold, damp house here in England.