Wednesday, June 1, 2016

Trump has solid lead in Georgia over Hillary 45 to 38, 37 to 30 in Independent voters, PPP poll, May 27-30, 724 registered voters (Likely voters not polled). Gingrich is big negative as Trump running mate, moves Hillary up and Trump down

.
Trump 45
Hillary 38

Independent voters

Trump 37
Hillary 30

May 27-30, 2016 poll. 724 registered voters ("likely" voters not polled), 80 phone, 20 internet, 3.6 error margin

June 1, 2016, "Trump Has Solid Lead Over Clinton in Georgia," PPP Poll

"PPP's new Georgia poll finds that the prospect of Democrats flipping the state blue in the Presidential race may have diminished with the unification of Republican voters around Donald Trump in the last month. Trump leads Clinton 45/38, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 6% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2%....

Beyond that Trump also leads 37/30 with independents, with Johnson at 13% and Stein at 1%. The racial divide in Georgia is massive with Clinton leading 80/2 among black voters, but Trump having a 67/17 advantage with white ones."

p. 2, "Newt Gingrich is a decently popular figure in Georgia, with a 44/36 favorability rating. But he actually hurts Trump in scenarios where he's polled as a hypothetical running mate, taking Trump's lead over both Clinton and Sanders down to 5 points at 47/42. Voters who are undecided in the standard Clinton/Trump match up move to Clinton by 20 points when Gingrich is introduced into the mix as Trump's running mate."

"Public Policy Polling surveyed 724 registered voters from May 27th to 30th. The margin of error is +/3.6%. 80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel (link)"

p. 5, Sample

33 D
41 R
26 I

53 Female
47 male

62 white
30 black
8 other


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